Cheltenham Festival 2027 ante-post guides
Brown Advisory Novices' Chase ante-post tips and trends
Updated 10 November 2026. Ante-post markets move a lot before March, so we refresh this guide after the key trials.
The three-mile Grade 1 for novice chasers, run as the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase (registered as the Broadway). It's often a pointer to future Gold Cup horses, and Willie Mullins has won the last three, most recently with Kitzbuhel at 11/1. Most of the leading names haven't jumped a fence in public yet, so this market runs on hurdles form and reputation. Mullins' He's On Fire heads it ahead of stablemate King Rasko Grey, while Albert Bartlett winner Johnny's Jury has already won over fences for Jamie Snowden.
A double Grade 1 winner over hurdles from the yard that's won the last three, and he'll be seven next March, the age that's dominated this race. Townend is keen on him as a chaser and his Turners win shows he stays well. The risk is he's pointed at the Arkle or stays over hurdles instead.
Key trends (2017-2026)
| Seven-year-olds have won seven of the last ten | Might Bite and Champ won at eight, and Kitzbuhel last March was the only six-year-old winner. |
| Mullins has won four of the last six, including the last three | Monkfish (2021), Fact To File (2024), Lecky Watson (2025) and Kitzbuhel (2026). |
| Five of the last ten winners were favourite | The last two bucked that: Lecky Watson won at 20/1 and Kitzbuhel at 11/1, beating 9/4 favourite Romeo Coolio, who pulled up. |
| British stables have won four of the last ten | Might Bite, Topofthegame, Champ and L'Homme Presse. None since 2022. |
| Six of the last ten won their previous start | Recent form matters, but a defeat last time isn't a deal breaker. |
The main contenders
Won both starts for Mullins last season: by 20 lengths at Carlisle in February, then a Grade 2 novice hurdle at Fairyhouse in April by 12 lengths. Patrick Mullins has called him a chaser in the making.
Against: Hasn't run in a Grade 1 or jumped a fence in public yet, so the price is mostly about potential.
Turners winner at 11/1, then won the Grade 1 novice hurdle at Punchestown by a head. Paul Townend is looking forward to him over fences.
Against: Mullins floated a Champion Hurdle idea in March and he's also in the Arkle betting, so this isn't a fixed target.
Won the Albert Bartlett at 20/1 last March, so he's proven over three miles at the Festival, and has already won on his chasing debut.
Against: That chase win was by a length at 4/5, and he'll need to improve a fair bit to beat the best Irish novices.
Went off favourite for the Turners last March and is seen by John Ingles as a three-mile chaser in the making.
Against: Didn't make the frame in the Turners after a bad start, so he has a bit to prove.
Second in the Turners at 10/1, two and a half lengths behind King Rasko Grey, and won a Newbury maiden before moving from Paul Nicholls to Henderson.
Against: Needs to reverse that Cheltenham form with King Rasko Grey and prove he stays three miles.
Won the Grade 1 Mersey Novices' Hurdle at Aintree in April, ending Gordon Elliott's run in the race.
Against: Has to prove himself over fences and over three miles.
Prices are a rough guide to the ante-post market when this guide was updated, not an offer.
What the tipsters say
- Oddschecker: He's On Fire took about a quarter of all bets on this race through its site over a 30-day period.
- Timeform: Its Fairyhouse analysis drew a comparison between He's On Fire and Gaelic Warrior.
- Irish Racing (Niall Tierney): Thinks King Rasko Grey's size and scope will make him better over fences, naming this race as a good fit.
- Sporting Life (John Ingles): Tipped No Drama This End in March, putting his Turners run down to a bad start and seeing him as a three-mile chaser.
- Sporting Life (Matt Brocklebank): Took a big-priced chance on Mullins' Espresso Milan, seeing a chaser with lots of improvement to come.
- Horseracing.net: Too early for firm tips, but notes that seven of the last ten winners were seven-year-olds.
Key trials to watch
- Drinmore Novice Chase, Fairyhouse (Early December)
- Kauto Star Novices' Chase, Kempton (26 December)
- Neville Hotels Novice Chase, Leopardstown (28 December)
- Scilly Isles Novices' Chase, Sandown (Early February)
- Three-mile Grade 1 novice chase, Leopardstown (Dublin Racing Festival) (Early February)
- Reynoldstown Novices' Chase, Ascot (February)
More Cheltenham Festival 2027 guides
- Champion HurdleOur pick: Lossiemouth
- Queen Mother Champion ChaseOur pick: Il Etait Temps
- Stayers' HurdleOur pick: Teahupoo
- Cheltenham Gold CupOur pick: Jango Baie
- Arkle Novices' ChaseOur pick: Old Park Star
- Ryanair ChaseOur pick: Heart Wood
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FAQs
- What is Pat's NAPs' ante-post pick for the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase?
- King Rasko Grey. A double Grade 1 winner over hurdles from the yard that's won the last three, and he'll be seven next March, the age that's dominated this race. Townend is keen on him as a chaser and his Turners win shows he stays well. The risk is he's pointed at the Arkle or stays over hurdles instead.
- What are the key Brown Advisory Novices' Chase trends?
- Seven-year-olds have won seven of the last ten. Mullins has won four of the last six, including the last three. Five of the last ten winners were favourite.
- When is the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase?
- Wednesday 17 March 2027, over 3m ½f. The Cheltenham Festival 2027 runs Tuesday 16 to Friday 19 March 2027.
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